PATA forecasts 155 million arrivals under mild scenario

Travel Biz News —
Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA) has predicted arrivals numbers for 2021 ranging from 154.8 million under the mild scenario to 65.5 million under the severe scenario.
The latest forecast at the overall regional level projects a nominal decrease in rate of recovery compared with the forecast provided in June. Given the complexity and uncertainty of the factors driving travel recovery, the forecast provides the range of three scenarios – mild, medium and severe.
Given the dynamic environment driven by COVID-19 health and border policies, PATA has produced an updated third-quarter 2021 forecast for international visitor arrivals into 39 Asia Pacific destinations.
The Pacific will likely have the highest recovery rates in the mild and medium scenarios over the forecast period: mild (102.6%), medium (78.2%), while the Americas will see the highest recovery rate (54.8%) in the severe scenario, according to PATA.
“As market conditions open and traveller interests have evolved, now is the time to reinvent products, reinforce destination readiness, communicate health and safety preparedness, and expand interest in lesser-known destinations. Now is the time to define the future of travel more positively with responsible travel elements.,” said PATA CEO Liz Ortiguera.
20 October 2021
Photo credit : World Rural Tourism Town – Located in the Balidian district of Huzhou, Zhejiang, China, it is focused on the development of 6 international rural industries: rural conference vacation, homestay and healthcare, water-based travel, cultural creativity, farming, and education training.- PATA